Connect with us

Analysis

Browns-Ravens Preview: 4 things to watch; 3 key numbers; the pick

FOUR-DOWN TERRITORY

(Four points of interest in Sunday’s game)

GROUND AND POUND

The Ravens have something old (their smash-mouth style), something new (rookie quarterback Lamar Jackson) and leave the opponent black and blue.

Advertisement

Since Jackson took over as the starter six games ago, the Ravens lead the league with 218.5 rushing yards a game. The 1,311 yards are 303 more than the next-best team, Seattle. They’ve rushed at least 40 times in five of the six games, with a high of 53 against Cincinnati. In Weeks 11-15, the Ravens rushed for at least 190 yards each game, becoming the first team since the 1976 Steelers to hit the number in five straight games. 

“It reminds me of some of the old days in this league,” interim coach Gregg Williams said. “When it is time to run the ball, it is time to play the run and understand that the line of scrimmage is going to be challenged at every single snap of the game.”

“There is a chance that they are going to line up and run the ball and try to run the ball downhill on third-and-5,” middle linebacker Joe Schobert said. “You really have to come into it with a little bit of a different mindset as anybody else in the NFL. It is going to be a challenge, but I think we are up for it.”

Jackson has rushed for 466 as a starter and formed a dynamic duo with undrafted rookie running back Gus Edwards, who has 578 yards since Week 11, fourth in the league. He has three 100-yard games since Nov. 18 and only one negative run in 125 total carries.

The Browns counter with a run defense that ranks 24th overall (124.5 yards) and 18th per attempt (4.5). It ranks sixth with 60 negative plays. The Browns have been much improved over the last three weeks, holding Carolina’s Christian McCaffrey to 63 yards, Denver’s Phillip Lindsay to 24 and Cincinnati’s Joe Mixon to 68.

BY AIR, TOO

Despite predraft opinions to the contrary, Jackson is also dangerous throwing the ball. He’ll miss some passes badly and give the defense the chance for interceptions, but he’s also made several big-time throws at critical times, including a 68-yard touchdown to rookie tight end Mark Andrews last week in a win over the Chargers.

He’s completed 58.2 percent for 1,022 yards with six touchdowns, three interceptions, 14 sacks and an 84.9 rating.

“There are a lot of things I still should have hit but, yeah, I’m a lot more comfortable now than I was before,” Jackson said.

“He does not get enough credit for how good of a passer he really is,” Browns quarterback Baker Mayfield said. “How he is able to put the ball in his teammates’ hands. He wants to distribute it, he wants to get it out of his hands and get it into his playmakers’ hands. He is a game-changer.”

Jackson isn’t the most accurate passer but he has a big arm, which should keep the Browns from creeping too far toward the line of scrimmage.

“Do not disregard his arm strength. He can throw it a long way, too,” Williams said. “At this level, it takes awhile for anybody to get ready for the speed of the game, including him, and then us getting ready for the speed of him. He has thrown the ball better and better each week.”

CLOSING IN

The Ravens’ third-ranked run defense will make it difficult, but rookie Nick Chubb should be able to get the 28 rushing yards necessary to reach 1,000. He’s already set franchise rookie records with 972 yards and four 100-yard games, which are even more impressive given he didn’t take over the starting role until Week 7 after Carlos Hyde was traded. Since then, he’s second in the NFL with 799 rushing yards, trailing only Dallas’ Ezekiel Elliott with 848.

“It’s special. Very special,” running back Duke Johnson said of the milestone. “Strong kid, wants to learn, hard worker. We always knew Nick could play and he showed that in OTAs and training camp. It’s just about getting opportunities.”

The slugfest with the Ravens could feature a lot of running on both sides, even though Baltimore’s defense ranks third in rushing yards allowed per game (85.1) and fourth per attempt (3.8).

“Just very tough and they all play very hard, play as one, and let the big guys upfront do a great job of applying pressure and just creating havoc in the run game,” Chubb said. “We know it’s going to be a physical game, but we’re up for it. We’re looking to just go out with a win and momentum for next year, and it’s going to be tough.”

The Browns had some success in their 12-9 overtime win over the Ravens in October, rushing 28 times for 112 yards. Chubb rushed three times for 2 yards but Hyde had 63 on 17 carries.

KEEP IN TOUCH

M&T Bank Stadium will be jumping by kickoff at 4:25 p.m. It’s always loud and filled with purple but will be at another level with the playoffs on the line for the Ravens. The teams are relatively evenly matched, so the outcome will likely come down to the details.

For the Browns, that could mean a quick start and avoiding costly mistakes on special teams. The Ravens’ run-dominated plan shortens games and subtracts possessions, so the Browns can’t afford to fall behind.

“We have to start fast,” Williams said. “Especially with them with what they are doing, we need to make sure we are on point from the opening kickoff on. Now every play even becomes more of a priority.”

That’s especially true in the kicking game. The Browns have been outplayed on special teams all year, and the breakdowns resurfaced last week in the win over the Bengals. Cleveland had a punt blocked, gave up a first down on a fake punt and kicker Greg Joseph missed an extra point.

“It is frustrating from the standpoint it happened, period,” special teams coordinator Amos Jones said. “It does not matter what time of the year. The biggest thing is the awareness of the situation of the game.”

The Ravens traditionally have one of the best special teams, led by coordinator Jerry Rosburg, kicker Justin Tucker and punter Sam Koch.

“They are extremely well-coached in the special teams,” Williams said. “We have to play very solid. This week we have even more emphasized how we have to win our battle in that one-on-one and as a team in special teams to fight for field position, to fight for points and all of those things that can be caused because of a special teams situation.”

NUMBERS GAME

7-0

Browns record when holding opponents to 20 points or fewer

5.7

Yards per play gained by the Browns. Their opponents have averaged 5.6

41

Touchdowns scored by the Browns and their opponents. The Browns have been outscored 366-335


THE PICK

I don’t see the Ravens missing the playoffs for the second straight year by losing another finale at home. Ravens 23, Browns 20.

Browns writer for The Chronicle-Telegram and The Medina Gazette. Proud graduate of Northwestern University. Husband and stepdad. Avid golfer who needs to hit the range to get down to a single-digit handicap. Right about Johnny Manziel, wrong about Brandon Weeden. Contact Scott at 440-329-7253, or email and follow him on and Twitter.

Comments
Advertisement
Advertisement

Recommended for You

More in Analysis